Friday, December 23, 2011

TRG Week 15 Recap

Due to the holiday weekend, I'm doing a double post today, so you should see my week 16 picks shortly. Kind of a weird week last week, ending up in a push after going 2-2-2. Not sure if I've ever managed to do that before. Here's the recap!

LOSSES


Denver +7.5 over New England: After a slow start, the Patriots got the offense rolling and that was pretty much it for the Broncos. Denver couldn't get enough stops on defense, and the offensive should have done better against such a bad defense. New England looked solid after the early onslaught and is now in control for the #1 seed in the AFC. Just another year.

NYG -6.5 over Washington: Well I couldn't have been more wrong on this one. Grossman did throw a couple of picks, but the Giants couldn't do anything with it. The NFC East teams continue to be enigmatic this year, both winning and losing at what always seems to be the least opportune time.

PUSHES


Detroit -1 over Oakland: Detroit nearly gave the game away with some bad mistakes, but they rallied for the late score and a push. That Stafford fumble/TD ruined any chance they had at covering, but it could have been worse. The wheels seem to be coming off for the Raiders, now winless in their last three games.

Cincy - 7 over St.L: This push was less lucky, as the cover was ruined by a Rams garbage-time TD. Regardless, the Bengals looked less than impressive in this win, as the offense continues to struggle. The Rams definitely aren't good, but they can hang in there against bad teams. Interesting matchup for them this week, facing the Steelers without Ben Roethlisberger.


WINS


Cleveland +7 over Arizona: The poor Browns blew a great chance to win that game, but at least they still covered. The entire basis of this pick was the fact that the Cards have only won one game by 7 or more points, so it wasn't a surprise to see them in another close one. Glad they proved me right, though!

NO/Minnesota over 51.5: This turned out to be an easy over, with the total reaching 62. Brees torched the Vikings, as expected, and the Saints gave up enough points to the Vikes to make the over happen. The Saints offense is really clicking right now, and they have tremendous depth at the skill positions. They've still got a chance at the #2 seed, and they will definitely make some noise in the playoffs this year.


2011 Stats

Total Record: 46-40-4

Games: 39-31-4
Over/Under: 7-9-0
Homes Teams: 17-10-1
Road Teams: 21-21-3
Favorites: 26-20-4
Dogs: 11-10-0
No Spread/Pick: 2-0-0  

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