Sunday, December 29, 2013

2013 December Football ERA Formula Trends Week 16 Podcast







AP Photo: Elaine Thompson

Saturday, December 28, 2013

Week 16 Football ERA Cumulative Results


Weekly 2013 Cumulative Football ERA Formula results are published below with the usual cautionary disclaimer that these are NOT Power Rankings. To analyze these results, we primarily have to look at how teams change within the Rankings rather than looking at the Rankings as raw stand-alone data. Position is neither the best nor the sole criteria of analyzing the list as much as is observing change in the list (first derivative). In other words, how teams rise and fall from week to week during the long season is more of a primary criteria for evaluating performance.
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Car
29258
Det
27079
Cinn
26416
Den
26068
Sea
24389
SF
24265
NO
23678
SD
21793
Arz
21226
Buff
21079
KC
21048
NE
18726
NYJ
17986
Phi
17714
GB
17472
Was
15696
Hou
15302
Bal
15032
Tenn
14539
Ind
13043
StL
12137
Pitt
11010
Oak
10741
Minn
10539
Chi
9048
TB
7579
Cleve
7240
NYG
5478
Atl
5370
Mia
4778
Dall
3175
Jax
-2478



Photo: John Grieshop, Getty Images

Week Sixteen Football ERA Composite Scores


The Football ERA Formula outputs a result that runs on a scale from approximately 4000 points to -4000 with losing teams that are dominated getting pushed into the negative numbers by their victors.  Defensive Elements of the Formula contribute to this negative score in games constituting blowouts.  A few years back, RealFootballAnalysis.com developed a formula that translates the Final Game Results of The Football ERA into Composite Scores that resemble football scores as much as possible.  Here are this week's Composite Scores:
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Buff
74
Mia
10



Phi
67
Chi
14



Cinn
60
Minn
20



Det
59
NYG
22



StL
58
TB
24



Tenn
55
Jax
26



NYJ
54
Cleve
26



Arz
53
Sea
31



SD
52
Oak
20



NO
51
Car
34



NE
51
Bal
31



Den
49
Hou
30



GB
47
Pitt
36



Ind
47
KC
36



SF
47
Atl
30



Was
41
Dall
33



 Photo: Rich Schultz Getty Images