Saturday, November 29, 2014

2014 Season Football ERA Formula Trends Week 12 Podcast






Photo: UPI, Matthew Healey

Friday, November 28, 2014

Week 12 Football ERA Cumulative Results

Weekly 2014 Cumulative Football ERA Formula results are published below with the usual cautionary disclaimer that these are NOT Power Rankings. To analyze these results, we primarily have to look at how teams change within the Rankings rather than looking at the Rankings as raw stand-alone data. Position is neither the best nor the sole criteria of analyzing the list as much as is observing change in the list (first derivative). In other words, how teams rise and fall from week to week during the long season is more of a primary criteria for evaluating performance.
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Sea
19476
Ind
19390
Bal
19153
Den
18214
Dall
16953
Pitt
16250
Mia
16213
KC
16151
SF
16142
NO
15866
Phi
15167
NE
14641
NYJ
13195
Det
13089
Chi
12729
Hou
12035
Was
11980
Cleve
11812
Buff
10663
Arz
10633
Cinn
9689
GB
9439
SD
8652
NYG
7333
Minn
7322
Car
6148
StL
5193
Jax
5184
Atl
4803
TB
294
Tenn
-847
Oak
-4237



Photo: UPI, Jim Bryant

Week Twelve Football ERA Composite Scores

The Football ERA Formula outputs a result that runs on a scale from approximately 4000 points to -4000 with losing teams that are dominated getting pushed into the negative numbers by their victors.  Defensive Elements of the Formula contribute to this negative score in games constituting blowouts.  A few years back, RealFootballAnalysis.com developed a formula that translates the Final Game Results of The Football ERA into Composite Scores that resemble football scores as much as possible.  Here are this week's Composite Scores:
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Ind
34
Jax
13



Buff
34
NYJ
12



Phi
32
Tenn
14



Cleve
30
Atl
15



Cinn
29
Hou
14



Bal
28
NO
16



Oak
28
KC
17



GB
28
Minn
16



Sea
27
Arz
19



Den
27
StL
19



NE
27
Det
17



SF
26
Was
20



NYG
26
Dall
17



Chi
24
TB
22



SD
24
StL
19



Photo: UPI, David Tulis