Tuesday, September 30, 2008

How Fast Things Change! ... Week 4 Cumulative Results


We have seen in recent seasons--especially since 2000--how fast teams develop (or regress) from week to week in today's NFL. Indianapolis and the New York Giants, recently, made Playoff runs by getting better and better each week while avoiding the injury bug. In fact, injuries contribute greatly to the flux we see every week in teams rising and falling on the various power rankings out there. The Football ERA helps to track these trends and generally reveals how hard and focused a team practices and prepares every week in its development. There has been so much flux in the past few seasons that we almost have to look at the long football season as a conglomeration of at least four different seasons---one for every month. Here is the cumulative scores from all the teams--including byes, of the results so far from the first month of the 2008 season. Keep in mind that one of my first posts last season cautions that this result, by no means, is a Power Ranking.



Bal … 5416.209167
Phi … 4147.636471
Tenn … 3966.461905
NYG … 3869.266912
Sea … 3582.733631
Dall … 3533.877857
TB … 2874.026491
Buff … 2783.854924
Was … 2744.627727
Atl … 2666.682619
Minn … 2631.142754
Arz … 2572.547727
Den … 2569.119048
Mia … 2530.285417
Chi … 2501.51273
SD … 2389.896667
NO … 2149.67197
Jax … 2081.646717
Pitt … 1993.69909
Car … 1961.693333
Oak … 1833.455238
SF … 1606.029773
NE … 1256.450694
NYJ … 1246.672013
GB … 1186.194405
KC … 541.9185714
Cleve … 350.71
Hou … 302.345
Ind … 20.41964286
StL … -439.3487302
Cinn … -478.9154902
Det … -949.4447917




With Baltimore, for example--despite the fact that the Ravens have played well, their score is a bit inflated as a result of beating up on opponents on an easy schedule and having benefited from an early bye in its early season calculations.

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