Friday, September 14, 2007

Week One Results!

I will first publish the raw results and then comment later given the opportunity. I must caution that these are NOT Power Rankings. One must play their own hunches based on a variety of factors including injuries, matchups, coaching, talent, etc. I will insert my roundup of the rest of the league as we proceed into the season since I focused primarily on the NFC East (which is currently local to my area) in the preseason. So without much further ado, here are the RAW (and I emphasize that) results from Week One:


Tenn 1584.44333
Pitt 1480.89429
NE 1470.14318
Car 1176.4925
Was 1136.985
Sea 1132.62857
SD 1076.12864
Arz 1019.39
Phi 947.036667
Den 820.098636
Minn 778.48
Bal 777.155
Hou 740.628636
Oak 683.585
Dall 634.33
Ind 573.723182
NO 381.275
Cinn 278.635
Buff 235.805
Det 176.065
NYG 170.382273
Atl 152.891667
SF 103.955
KC 90.8314286
TB 76.4766667
GB 4.83555556
Chi -73.626176
Mia -157.39
StL -272.58333
Cleve -331.68853
Jax -459.64
NYJ -502.84167


Keep in mind these are not absolute rankings based on numbers that measure a teams performance against the entire league but are only significant for the conditions of that particular sunday (a la "any given sunday..." and other cliches...) AND that particular sunday's matchup......for ex., Minn played Atl---> The Viking's Week One numbers can only be judged on how they performed on 9/9/07 versus the Falcon's Sept. 9th performance. We don't know how good or bad the Falcons are...so we CANNOT reach any conclusions about how good Minnesota is versus other teams in the league. (If we could, we'd all be rich!). For example, 100 points scored against the Falcons would not be equal to a 100 points scored against the Bears, etc.

(The only way to have numbers from one game that could be compared to another would be to have everyone play the same opponent at the same time under the same conditions ... say any team---take Kansas City---were cloned and played every other team under exactly the same team, weather, health, and other considerations and conditions.......then the results of the games could be compared not only in terms of numbers but actual performance on the field etc....).
The BCS runs into this problem every week in trying to quantify rankings while NFL analysts are continually having to adjust to a league where teams change in performances from week to week and are not static --- neither in terms of their performances, lineups, and health---but their talent level as well--which changes with coaching, practice, experience, health, and other factors.

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(I may give my own power rankings based on my own hunches and a detailed review of last minute Sunday Injury Report Analysis from time to time after analysis of week to week results and trends).

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