Thursday, September 27, 2012

Week 3 Football ERA Cumulative Results


Weekly 2012 Cumulative Football ERA Formula results are published below with the usual cautionary disclaimer that these are NOT Power Rankings. To analyze these results, we primarily have to look at how teams change within the Rankings rather than looking at the Rankings as raw stand-alone data. Position is neither the best nor the sole criteria of analyzing the list as much as is observing change in the list (first derivative). In other words, how teams rise and fall from week to week during the long season is more of a primary criteria for evaluating performance.
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Hou
8141
Mia
4894
Phi
4810
Was
4758
KC
4750
Chi
4642
NE
4057
Sea
3897
NYG
3829
Buff
3610
SD
3274
Det
3199
GB
3119
Minn
3072
Arz
3016
SF
2811
Den
2501
Cinn
2434
Atl
2245
Pitt
2111
Bal
1974
Dall
1965
TB
1847
Ind
1436
Car
690
NYJ
610
Cleve
355
StL
181
Oak
102
Jax
-472
NO
-1007
Tenn
-3052



AP Photo David Zalubowski from NFL.com

Week Three Football ERA Composite Scores


The Football ERA Formula outputs a result that runs on a scale from approximately 4000 points to -4000 with losing teams that are dominated getting pushed into the negative numbers by their victors.  Defensive Elements of the Formula contribute to this negative score in games constituting blowouts.  A few years back, RealFootballAnalysis.com developed a formula that translates the Final Game Results of The Football ERA into Composite Scores that resemble football scores as much as possible.  Here are this week's Composite Scores:
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KC
57
NO
16



Chi
51
StL
22



Hou
47
Den
24



Buff
45
Cleve
23



Det
44
Tenn
23



Mia
44
NYJ
26



Minn
42
SF
22



Was
42
Cinn
37



NYG
42
Car
23



Arz
42
Phi
29



Atl
40
SD
22



Sea
38
GB
34



Jax
36
Ind
34



Bal
35
NE
31



TB
34
Dall
34



Pitt
32
Oak
29



AP Photo Jonathan Bachman from NFL.com