Friday, December 26, 2014

2014 Season Football ERA Formula Trends Week 16 Podcast






Photo: Ben Margot, AP

Week 16 Football ERA Cumulative Results

Weekly 2014 Cumulative Football ERA Formula results are published below with the usual cautionary disclaimer that these are NOT Power Rankings. To analyze these results, we primarily have to look at how teams change within the Rankings rather than looking at the Rankings as raw stand-alone data. Position is neither the best nor the sole criteria of analyzing the list as much as is observing change in the list (first derivative). In other words, how teams rise and fall from week to week during the long season is more of a primary criteria for evaluating performance.
-------------------------------------

Sea
32002
Den
25013
Bal
24876
Dall
22960
Pitt
22652
Det
21365
Ind
21307
Hou
20537
NE
20244
NYJ
19195
SF
19042
GB
18570
Car
17817
Phi
17762
KC
17176
Cinn
17163
NO
16881
Mia
16538
NYG
14707
Was
13418
StL
11719
Buff
11657
Chi
11585
Arz
10569
Cleve
9912
Minn
9262
Atl
8560
SD
8304
Jax
5872
Tenn
-329
Oak
-783
TB
-2795




Photo: Rick Scuteri, AP

Thursday, December 25, 2014

Week Sixteen Football ERA Composite Scores

The Football ERA Formula outputs a result that runs on a scale from approximately 5000 points to -5000 with losing teams that are dominated getting pushed into the negative numbers by their victors.  Defensive Elements of the Formula contribute to this negative score in games constituting blowouts.  A few years back, RealFootballAnalysis.com developed a formula that translates the Final Game Results of The Football ERA into Composite Scores that resemble football scores as much as possible.  Here are this week's Composite Scores:
-------------------------------------

Sea
40
Arz
7



GB
38
TB
6



Car
37
Cleve
8



Dall
35
Ind
7



Hou
31
Bal
14



Oak
29
Buff
15



Det
28
Chi
17



SF
28
SD
18



Mia
27
Minn
17



Cinn
26
Den
19



Phi
26
Was
20



Pitt
25
KC
17



NYJ
24
NE
21



Atl
24
NO
18



Jax
24
Tenn
22



NYG
23
StL
21





AP Photo, Conroe Courier, Jason Fochtman