Thursday, November 27, 2008

Week 12 Game By Game Results





Net Total Off=Rushing+Drives Def=Rushing+Pressure



Chi … 1488.8 … 682.75 = 568.25 + 114.5 … 806.05 = 331.875 + 474.175
StL … -348.678 … -22.75 = -5.75 + -17 … -325.928 = -331.875 + 5.94

NYJ … 1423.773 … 914.75 = 469.75 + 445 … 509.023 = 466.25 + 42.773
Tenn … -578.665… -197.25 = 12.75 + -210… -381.415 = -466.25 + 84.835

Buff … 1368.615…701.15 = 414.75 + 286.4…667.465 = 386.25 + 281.215
KC … -156.307…211.35 = 282.75 + -71.4 … -367.657= -386.25 + 18.592

Pitt … 1261.238 … 756.25 = 465.75 + 290.5 … 504.988 = 335 + 169.988
Cinn … -354.635… -21.25 = 89.25 + -110.5… -333.385 = -335 + 1.614

Was … 1252.76 … 761.4 = 389.5 + 371.9 … 491.36 = 331.25 + 160.11
Sea … -118.581…59.85 = 256.75 + -196.9… -178.431 = -331.25 + 152.818

Minn … 1131.834… 513.05 = 450.75 + 62.3 … 618.784 = 307.5 + 311.284
Jax … -21.985 … 103.2 = 40.5 + 62.7 … -125.185 = -307.5 + 182.315

NE … 1018.11 … 735.5 = 457 + 278.5 … 282.61 = 200 + 82.61
Mia … 110.235…137 = 115.5 + 21.5… -26.765 = -200 + 173.235

TB … 950.737 … 470.95 = 312.25 + 158.7 … 479.787 = 209.375 + 270.412
Det … 238.83…120.3 = 186.5 + -66.2…118.53 = -209.375 + 327.905

Atl … 917.718 … 572.3 = 508.5 + 63.8 … 345.418 = 103.75 + 241.668
Car … 280.805…398.95 = 262.75 + 136.2… -118.145 = -103.75 + -14.395

Dall … 811.87 … 356.85 = 219.25 + 137.6… 455.02 = 92.5 + 362.52
SF … 4.03… 58.15 = 75.75 + -17.6… -54.12 = -92.5 + 38.38

GB …767.255…565.05 = 377.75 + 187.3 … 202.205 = 156.25 + 45.955
NO …478.608…432.45 = 394.75 + 37.7 … 46.158 = -156.25 + 202.408

Bal … 759.46…414.7 = 331.5 + 83.2 … 344.76 = 99.375 + 245.385
Phi … 300.851…162.8 = 183.5 + -20.7 … 138.051 = -99.375 + 237.426

Oak … 729.862…573.3 = 456 + 117.3 … 156.562 = 138.125 + 18.437
Den … 164.2…381.7 = 256.5 + 125.2 … -217.5 = -138.125 + -79.375

Hou … 691.802…502.5 = 258.5 + 244 … 189.302 = 102.5 + 86.802
Cleve … 184.78…142.5 = 246.5 + -104 … 42.28 = -102.5 + 144.78

SD … 580.028… 394 = 291 + 103 … 186.028 = 158.75 + 27.278
Ind … 188.96…267.25 = 155.25 + 112 … -78.29 = -158.75 + 80.46

NYG … 566.615… 309.15 = 300.25 + 8.9 … 257.465 = 67.5 + 189.965
Arz … 371.738… 337.1= 146 + 191.1… 34.638= -67.5 + 102.138


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Week 12 Cumulative Scores

The reason why cumulative results are not to be viewed as a Power Rankings is evident as the 2008 seasons heads well into November. There are new teams emerging and developing as teams who we thought were going to go the distance and get to the playoffs with the same lineup are struggling with injuries and bringing backups up to speed-----they aren't who we thought they were. I run several spreadsheets looking for changes in how teams are rising and falling in the cumulative standings. First Derivative change is how we can distinguish emerging teams from those that are falling off a bit from week to week. As some begin to develop their rushing attack, we can see them rise in the rankings eventhough their cumulative score may be towards the bottom of the rankings. Changes in the rankings are significant and reveal why these rankings are NOT a Power Rankings.




Bal … 12727.9075
NYG … 12449.42414
NYJ … 9383.332134
NE … 9382.462311
Minn … 9366.870867
Was … 9154.490784
Pitt … 9071.966859
Atl … 8814.892599
TB … 8642.736736
Tenn … 8410.484286
Mia … 8383.920698
Phi … 8357.105659
Arz … 8272.231423
Dall … 7984.692882
Chi … 6835.196024
NO … 6737.730169
Car … 6688.219763
Jax … 6301.297559
GB … 5828.703474
Buff … 5826.50798
Hou … 5383.273947
Den … 4811.57661
SD … 3814.199252
SF … 3769.489373
Sea … 3629.62752
Cleve … 2146.673535
Oak … 1861.46943
Ind … 1057.401771
Cinn … 672.8904077
KC … -109.1742511
StL … -788.1848521
Det … -896.6197917

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Friday, November 21, 2008

Week 11 Game By Game Results




Net Total Off=Rushing+Drives Def=Rushing+Pressure



Mia … 1540.339 … 726.8 = 508.5 + 218.3 … 813.539 = 390.625 + 422.914
Oak … -341.851 … -49.3 = 36.5 + -85.8 … -292.551 = -390.625 + 98.073

GB … 1506.38 … 852.85 = 463.25 + 389.6 … 653.53 = 478.75 + 174.78
Chi … -661.95 … -127.85 = 111.75 + -239.6 … -534.1 = -478.75 + -55.35

TB … 1201.308 … 611.3 = 387.5 + 223.8 … 590.008 = 238.125 + 351.883
Minn … -80.561 … 126.2 = 192.5 + -66.3 … -206.761 = -238.125 + 31.363

Buff … 1023.555 … 516.9 = 355.5 + 161.4 … 506.655 = 243.75 + 262.905
Cleve … 60.193 … 296.85 = 318.25 + -21.4 … -236.656 = -243.75 + 7.093

SF … 991.411 … 496.95 = 449.75 + 47.2 … 494.461 = 143.75 + 350.711
StL … 265.357 … 374.3 = 231.5 + 142.8 … -108.942 = -143.75 + 34.807

Dall … 953.318 … 445.05 = 298.25 + 146.8 … 508.268 = 193.75 + 314.518
Was … -40.702 … 182.45 = 179.25 + 3.2 … -223.152 = -193.75 + -29.402

Arz … 891.123 … 509 = 256.5 + 252.5 … 382.123 = 128.75 + 253.373
Sea … 193.61 … 193.5 = 266 + -72.5 … 0.11 = -128.75 + 128.86

NYJ … 849.157 … 503.1 = 287 + 216.1 … 346.057 = 58.125 + 287.932
NE … 386.752 … 298.15 = 261.75 + 36.4 … 88.602 = -58.125 + 146.727

NYG … 846.663 … 607.65 = 455.75 + 151.9 … 239.013 = 165 + 74.013
Bal … 55.53 … 198.6 = 165.5 + 33.1 … -143.07 = -165 + 21.93

NO … 842.998 … 437.45 = 331.25 + 106.2 … 405.548 = 61.25 + 344.298
KC … 174.9 … 312.55 = 198.75 + 113.8 … -137.65 = -61.25 + -76.4

Pitt … 805.735 … 613.2 = 295.5 + 317.7 … 192.535 = 174.375 + 18.16
SD … 200.845 … 133.05 = 258.25 + -125.2 … 67.795 = -174.375 + 242.17

Car … 739.44 … 490.1 = 550 + -59.9 … 249.34 = -31.875 + 281.215
Det … 426.975 … 414.9 = 207.5 + 207.4 … 12.075 = 31.875 + -19.8

Phi … 708.99 … 130.2 = 203 + -72.8 … 578.79 = -105 + 683.79
Cinn … 678.643 … 326.05 = 168.25 + 157.8 … 352.593 = 105 + 247.593

Jax … 643.071 … 519.9 = 380.5 + 139.4 … 123.171 = 54.375 + 68.796
Tenn … 573.87 … 145.1 = 177 + -31.9 … 428.77 = -54.375 + 483.145

Atl … 544.846 … 488.4 = 298.5 + 189.9 … 56.446 = 55 + 1.446
Den … 296.388 … 365.35 = 335.25 + 30.1 … -68.961 = -55 + -13.961

Hou … 371.425 … 550.25 = 503.25 + 47 … -178.825 = -100.625 + -78.2
Ind … 179.31 … 391 = 200.5 + 190.5 … -211.69 = 100.625 + -312.315



_____________________

Week 11 Cumulative Results

The reason why cumulative results are not to be viewed as a Power Rankings is evident as the 2008 seasons heads well into November. There are new teams emerging and developing as teams who we thought were going to go the distance and get to the playoffs with the same lineup are struggling with injuries and bringing backups up to speed-----they aren't who we thought they were. I run several spreadsheets looking for changes in how teams are rising and falling in the cumulative standings. First Derivative change is how we can distinguish emerging teams from those that are falling off a bit from week to week. As some begin to develop their rushing attack, we can see them rise in the rankings eventhough their cumulative score may be towards the bottom of the rankings. Changes in the rankings are significant and reveal why these rankings are NOT a Power Rankings.



Bal … 11968.4475
NYG … 11882.80843
Tenn … 8989.149286
NE … 8364.352311
Mia … 8273.685698
Minn … 8235.036582
Phi … 8056.253894
NYJ … 7959.558952
Was … 7901.730784
Arz … 7900.493089
Atl … 7897.174028
Pitt … 7810.728525
TB … 7691.998879
Dall … 7172.822882
Car … 6407.414763
Jax … 6323.282559
NO … 6259.12164
Chi … 5346.396024
GB … 5061.448474
Hou … 4691.471169
Den … 4647.37661
Buff … 4457.89298
SF … 3765.459373
Sea … 3748.209187
SD … 3234.170722
Cleve … 1961.893535
Oak … 1131.60693
Cinn … 1027.526122
Ind … 868.4417713
KC … 47.13289177
StL … -439.5065188
Det … -1135.449792





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