Saturday, December 28, 2013

Week 16 Football ERA Cumulative Results


Weekly 2013 Cumulative Football ERA Formula results are published below with the usual cautionary disclaimer that these are NOT Power Rankings. To analyze these results, we primarily have to look at how teams change within the Rankings rather than looking at the Rankings as raw stand-alone data. Position is neither the best nor the sole criteria of analyzing the list as much as is observing change in the list (first derivative). In other words, how teams rise and fall from week to week during the long season is more of a primary criteria for evaluating performance.
-------------------------------------

Car
…
29258
Det
…
27079
Cinn
…
26416
Den
…
26068
Sea
…
24389
SF
…
24265
NO
…
23678
SD
…
21793
Arz
…
21226
Buff
…
21079
KC
…
21048
NE
…
18726
NYJ
…
17986
Phi
…
17714
GB
…
17472
Was
…
15696
Hou
…
15302
Bal
…
15032
Tenn
…
14539
Ind
…
13043
StL
…
12137
Pitt
…
11010
Oak
…
10741
Minn
…
10539
Chi
…
9048
TB
…
7579
Cleve
…
7240
NYG
…
5478
Atl
…
5370
Mia
…
4778
Dall
…
3175
Jax
…
-2478



Photo: John Grieshop, Getty Images

Week Sixteen Football ERA Composite Scores


The Football ERA Formula outputs a result that runs on a scale from approximately 4000 points to -4000 with losing teams that are dominated getting pushed into the negative numbers by their victors.  Defensive Elements of the Formula contribute to this negative score in games constituting blowouts.  A few years back, RealFootballAnalysis.com developed a formula that translates the Final Game Results of The Football ERA into Composite Scores that resemble football scores as much as possible.  Here are this week's Composite Scores:
-------------------------------------

Buff
…
74
Mia
…
10



Phi
…
67
Chi
…
14



Cinn
…
60
Minn
…
20



Det
…
59
NYG
…
22



StL
…
58
TB
…
24



Tenn
…
55
Jax
…
26



NYJ
…
54
Cleve
…
26



Arz
…
53
Sea
…
31



SD
…
52
Oak
…
20



NO
…
51
Car
…
34



NE
…
51
Bal
…
31



Den
…
49
Hou
…
30



GB
…
47
Pitt
…
36



Ind
…
47
KC
…
36



SF
…
47
Atl
…
30



Was
…
41
Dall
…
33



 Photo: Rich Schultz Getty Images