Friday, December 26, 2014

2014 Season Football ERA Formula Trends Week 16 Podcast






Photo: Ben Margot, AP

Week 16 Football ERA Cumulative Results

Weekly 2014 Cumulative Football ERA Formula results are published below with the usual cautionary disclaimer that these are NOT Power Rankings. To analyze these results, we primarily have to look at how teams change within the Rankings rather than looking at the Rankings as raw stand-alone data. Position is neither the best nor the sole criteria of analyzing the list as much as is observing change in the list (first derivative). In other words, how teams rise and fall from week to week during the long season is more of a primary criteria for evaluating performance.
-------------------------------------

Sea
…
32002
Den
…
25013
Bal
…
24876
Dall
…
22960
Pitt
…
22652
Det
…
21365
Ind
…
21307
Hou
…
20537
NE
…
20244
NYJ
…
19195
SF
…
19042
GB
…
18570
Car
…
17817
Phi
…
17762
KC
…
17176
Cinn
…
17163
NO
…
16881
Mia
…
16538
NYG
…
14707
Was
…
13418
StL
…
11719
Buff
…
11657
Chi
…
11585
Arz
…
10569
Cleve
…
9912
Minn
…
9262
Atl
…
8560
SD
…
8304
Jax
…
5872
Tenn
…
-329
Oak
…
-783
TB
…
-2795




Photo: Rick Scuteri, AP

Thursday, December 25, 2014

Week Sixteen Football ERA Composite Scores

The Football ERA Formula outputs a result that runs on a scale from approximately 5000 points to -5000 with losing teams that are dominated getting pushed into the negative numbers by their victors.  Defensive Elements of the Formula contribute to this negative score in games constituting blowouts.  A few years back, RealFootballAnalysis.com developed a formula that translates the Final Game Results of The Football ERA into Composite Scores that resemble football scores as much as possible.  Here are this week's Composite Scores:
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Sea
…
40
Arz
…
7



GB
…
38
TB
…
6



Car
…
37
Cleve
…
8



Dall
…
35
Ind
…
7



Hou
…
31
Bal
…
14



Oak
…
29
Buff
…
15



Det
…
28
Chi
…
17



SF
…
28
SD
…
18



Mia
…
27
Minn
…
17



Cinn
…
26
Den
…
19



Phi
…
26
Was
…
20



Pitt
…
25
KC
…
17



NYJ
…
24
NE
…
21



Atl
…
24
NO
…
18



Jax
…
24
Tenn
…
22



NYG
…
23
StL
…
21





AP Photo, Conroe Courier, Jason Fochtman